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Acciona SA
vda. de Europa
18. Parque Empresarial La Moraleja
Phone: +34 916632850p:+34 916632850 ALCOBENDAS, MAD  28108  Spain Ticker: ANAANA


The greenest Acciona comes with a hey discount per family


Clan meetings can be full of tension. Acciona shareholders should know this. The infrastructure group of 7,300 million euros wants to break up its relics of renewable energy, which bankers estimate will be worth more than the family business that controls it. Investors aren't excited yet.

The planned IPO of Acciona's wind and solar energy business - which accounted for approximately three quarters of the group's EBITDA last year - comes at a delicate time. The green bubble has deflated a bit, and the iShares Global Clean Energy exchange-traded fund is down about a third from its January high.

This has not discouraged the Entrecanales family, whose members run the business and have a majority stake in Acciona through two investment vehicles. The sale of a 25% stake in Acciona Energía - as the scion is known - would allow Acciona to write off a net debt of more than 4 times the expected EBITDA for 2021.

It should also give the unit more freedom to pursue the near doubling of its energy capacity to 20 gigawatts by 2025. Acciona Energía could use its shares to buy rivals and make its target of 31 GW by 2030 easier to reach.
That potential is not yet in acciona's share price. At a multiple of 15 times the estimated EBITDA for 2021, similar to that of the Portuguese EDP Renovaveis (EDPR), the unit would reach 14,500 million euros, including debt. This compares to Acciona's current value of around 13,500 million euros, implying that investors attribute a negative value to its other construction and infrastructure assets.

One of the main reasons is that, after the disintegration, the Entrecanales clan will continue to control Acciona Energía, since Acciona intends to maintain a majority stake. But investors are applying a fairly strong dominant shareholder discount.
Let's imagine that acciona's infrastructure part trades at 8 times ebitda, less than the French rival Vinci, which does it at 10 times: it would be worth 2,000 million euros. If combined with Acciona Energía and the group's net debt is cut, amounting to 5,800 million, an overall equity value of 11,000 million is obtained, 51% above acciona's current market capitalization.

Considering that its green peers EDPR and Denmark's Orsted also have controlling shareholders, Acciona's investors could be more positive.

The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions are yours. The translation, by Carlos Gómez Abajo, is the responsibility of CincoDías


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